XGBoost Predicted Odds
Last updated:
Pick 1
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Leon Draisaitl |
9.01% |
| Ryan O'Reilly |
8.25% |
| Zach Hyman |
7.74% |
| Tage Thompson |
7.58% |
| Alex Ovechkin |
7.27% |
| Tim Stützle |
7.04% |
| Cole Caufield |
6.92% |
| Tyler Toffoli |
6.80% |
| Nathan MacKinnon |
6.68% |
| Nick Suzuki |
6.46% |
| Lawson Crouse |
6.35% |
| Yegor Sharangovich |
6.31% |
| Nazem Kadri |
5.65% |
| Fabian Zetterlund |
4.97% |
| Alexis Lafrenière |
4.86% |
Pick 2
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Matt Duchene |
7.13% |
| Jonas Brodin |
6.99% |
| Jake Sanderson |
6.64% |
| Josh Anderson |
6.62% |
| Stefan Noesen |
6.53% |
| Roope Hintz |
6.07% |
| Ryan Hartman |
5.64% |
| Mattias Ekholm |
5.63% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky |
5.57% |
| Connor Zary |
5.29% |
| Ridly Greig |
4.71% |
| Morgan Frost |
4.71% |
| Mattias Janmark |
4.62% |
| Cole Smith |
4.55% |
| Jordan Greenway |
4.55% |
Pick 3
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Jonny Brodzinski |
6.84% |
| Trent Frederic |
5.52% |
| Curtis Lazar |
5.35% |
| Ryan Lomberg |
5.22% |
| Alexandre Carrier |
4.55% |
| Brayden McNabb |
4.55% |
| Ian Cole |
4.49% |
| Arber Xhekaj |
4.46% |
| Luke Hughes |
4.41% |
| Simon Edvinsson |
4.25% |
| Artem Zub |
4.09% |
| Kevin Bahl |
3.86% |
| Declan Chisholm |
3.35% |
| Jordan Spence |
3.02% |
| Scott Mayfield |
3.02% |
About Model 6
Robust boosted trees with strong regularization, trained to predict and calibrate the percentage chance of a player scoring.