XGBoost Predicted Odds
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Pick 1
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Dylan Larkin |
8.47% |
| Sam Reinhart |
8.35% |
| Tage Thompson |
7.58% |
| Clayton Keller |
7.38% |
| Patrick Kane |
7.24% |
| Pavel Buchnevich |
7.24% |
| Tim Stützle |
7.04% |
| Teuvo Teräväinen |
7.03% |
| Connor Bedard |
6.38% |
| Jake Neighbours |
6.31% |
| Brayden Schenn |
6.27% |
| Nazem Kadri |
5.65% |
| Mikael Backlund |
5.56% |
| Luke Kunin |
5.28% |
| Dylan Cozens |
5.06% |
Pick 2
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Michael Amadio |
7.41% |
| Jason Dickinson |
6.44% |
| Ryan Donato |
6.20% |
| Michael Rasmussen |
5.88% |
| Andrew Copp |
5.80% |
| Shane Pinto |
5.78% |
| Justin Faulk |
5.50% |
| Evan Rodrigues |
5.35% |
| Connor Zary |
5.29% |
| Mathieu Joseph |
4.91% |
| Anton Lundell |
4.86% |
| Morgan Frost |
4.71% |
| Mason Appleton |
4.62% |
| Eetu Luostarinen |
4.62% |
| Connor Murphy |
4.20% |
Pick 3
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Rasmus Dahlin |
7.66% |
| Seth Jones |
7.58% |
| James van Riemsdyk |
7.50% |
| Brandon Tanev |
6.45% |
| Noah Gregor |
5.97% |
| Ryan Lomberg |
5.22% |
| Niko Mikkola |
4.92% |
| Joey Anderson |
4.65% |
| Zach Benson |
4.64% |
| Michael Kesselring |
4.09% |
| Artem Zub |
4.09% |
| Daniil Miromanov |
3.50% |
| Travis Hamonic |
3.12% |
| Jordan Spence |
3.02% |
| Nate Schmidt |
2.41% |
About Model 6
Robust boosted trees with strong regularization, trained to predict and calibrate the percentage chance of a player scoring.