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Model 5 · Predicted Odds

Heuristic Box Score Driven
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Pick 1

Top candidate by recent + season-to-date stats

Player Predicted Odds (%)
Alex Ovechkin 13.92%
Tyler Toffoli 13.88%
Zach Hyman 13.66%
Tage Thompson 13.53%
Cole Caufield 12.25%
Nazem Kadri 12.16%
Ryan O'Reilly 12.10%
Leon Draisaitl 12.08%
Nathan MacKinnon 8.97%
Tim Stützle 8.42%
Nick Suzuki 8.19%
Yegor Sharangovich 8.15%
Lawson Crouse 8.14%
Fabian Zetterlund 5.57%
Alexis Lafrenière 5.11%

Pick 2

Runner-up based on same heuristic

Player Predicted Odds (%)
Matt Duchene 13.32%
Roope Hintz 12.34%
Stefan Noesen 12.34%
Josh Anderson 9.16%
Jake Sanderson 8.88%
Juraj Slafkovsky 7.97%
Ryan Hartman 7.33%
Jonas Brodin 7.22%
Mattias Ekholm 7.01%
Cole Smith 5.55%
Jordan Greenway 5.45%
Mattias Janmark 5.09%
Morgan Frost 5.05%
Connor Zary 4.99%
Ridly Greig 4.77%

Pick 3

Third-best option by the heuristic

Player Predicted Odds (%)
Jonny Brodzinski 9.26%
Curtis Lazar 6.78%
Ryan Lomberg 6.50%
Trent Frederic 5.97%
Arber Xhekaj 4.82%
Artem Zub 4.63%
Brayden McNabb 4.54%
Luke Hughes 4.40%
Simon Edvinsson 4.40%
Kevin Bahl 4.34%
Jordan Spence 4.33%
Scott Mayfield 4.33%
Ian Cole 4.33%
Alexandre Carrier 4.33%
Declan Chisholm 4.28%

About Model 5

Model 5 is a simple heuristic that selects the player with the strongest recent and season-to-date statistics. It doesn’t use advanced machine learning, but it provides a clear baseline for comparison against more sophisticated models.

This write-up section can be expanded with methodology, assumptions, or even links to visualizations or reports. Employers can see how the reasoning behind each model is documented.