Polynomial Regression Predicted Odds
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Pick 1
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Leon Draisaitl |
44.86% |
| Tage Thompson |
44.32% |
| Nick Suzuki |
43.94% |
| Cole Caufield |
43.81% |
| Zach Hyman |
43.23% |
| Alex Ovechkin |
42.92% |
| Nazem Kadri |
42.76% |
| Nathan MacKinnon |
42.71% |
| Tyler Toffoli |
42.71% |
| Alexis Lafrenière |
40.97% |
| Tim Stützle |
38.09% |
| Lawson Crouse |
32.49% |
| Ryan O'Reilly |
31.04% |
| Fabian Zetterlund |
27.81% |
| Yegor Sharangovich |
24.39% |
Pick 2
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Roope Hintz |
43.00% |
| Matt Duchene |
42.71% |
| Stefan Noesen |
35.01% |
| Josh Anderson |
34.34% |
| Connor Zary |
33.56% |
| Morgan Frost |
32.49% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky |
25.50% |
| Ridly Greig |
24.80% |
| Ryan Hartman |
24.25% |
| Jake Sanderson |
22.36% |
| Mattias Ekholm |
15.52% |
| Cole Smith |
15.50% |
| Jonas Brodin |
12.08% |
| Jordan Greenway |
11.44% |
| Mattias Janmark |
8.52% |
Pick 3
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Jonny Brodzinski |
37.46% |
| Simon Edvinsson |
23.77% |
| Trent Frederic |
19.35% |
| Ryan Lomberg |
15.13% |
| Luke Hughes |
15.03% |
| Curtis Lazar |
11.77% |
| Brayden McNabb |
8.94% |
| Alexandre Carrier |
8.20% |
| Artem Zub |
8.15% |
| Declan Chisholm |
7.14% |
| Scott Mayfield |
7.03% |
| Jordan Spence |
6.65% |
| Arber Xhekaj |
5.20% |
| Kevin Bahl |
5.17% |
| Ian Cole |
5.17% |
About Model 3
Polynomial regression mapping engineered features to calibrated scoring probabilities.