Polynomial Regression Predicted Odds
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Pick 1
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Leon Draisaitl |
44.86% |
| Mark Scheifele |
44.56% |
| Nick Suzuki |
43.94% |
| Cole Caufield |
43.81% |
| Sebastian Aho |
43.09% |
| Nathan MacKinnon |
42.71% |
| Robert Thomas |
41.80% |
| Mikko Rantanen |
41.27% |
| Kevin Fiala |
39.84% |
| Dylan Guenther |
39.76% |
| Nino Niederreiter |
37.53% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
36.53% |
| Jake DeBrusk |
32.68% |
| Conor Garland |
32.07% |
| Cale Makar |
22.34% |
Pick 2
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Andrew Mangiapane |
38.45% |
| Seth Jarvis |
37.33% |
| Logan Cooley |
37.23% |
| Josh Anderson |
34.34% |
| Frédérick Gaudreau |
34.15% |
| Jack McBain |
30.92% |
| Alex Turcotte |
27.81% |
| Alex Iafallo |
26.81% |
| Tyler Seguin |
26.70% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky |
25.50% |
| Quinn Hughes |
23.02% |
| Mattias Ekholm |
15.52% |
| Cole Smith |
15.50% |
| Luke Schenn |
6.38% |
Pick 3
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Corey Perry |
42.02% |
| Tanner Pearson |
34.15% |
| Cole Koepke |
32.49% |
| Nathan Walker |
24.94% |
| Noah Dobson |
22.65% |
| Sam Steel |
19.52% |
| Adam Larsson |
19.14% |
| Darnell Nurse |
17.77% |
| Joel Edmundson |
16.39% |
| Curtis Lazar |
11.77% |
| Tyler Myers |
10.76% |
| Marcus Pettersson |
8.45% |
| Arber Xhekaj |
5.20% |
| Mike Reilly |
5.07% |
| Matthew Kessel |
4.32% |
About Model 3
Polynomial regression mapping engineered features to calibrated scoring probabilities.