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Advanced Heuristic Predicted Odds

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Pick 1

Player Predicted Odds (%)
Nathan MacKinnon 2962.00%
Zach Hyman 2191.00%
Tage Thompson 2068.00%
Cole Caufield 2050.00%
Leon Draisaitl 2001.00%
Alex Ovechkin 1747.00%
Ryan O'Reilly 1530.00%
Nick Suzuki 1395.00%
Fabian Zetterlund 1352.00%
Tyler Toffoli 1351.00%
Lawson Crouse 1313.00%
Yegor Sharangovich 1040.00%
Nazem Kadri 1009.00%

Pick 2

Player Predicted Odds (%)
Roope Hintz 1634.00%
Cole Smith 1520.00%
Josh Anderson 1366.00%
Ryan Hartman 1352.00%
Matt Duchene 1262.00%
Morgan Frost 1194.00%
Jake Sanderson 1014.00%
Connor Zary 730.00%
Jonas Brodin 693.00%
Stefan Noesen 622.00%
Mattias Ekholm 450.00%
Mattias Janmark 416.00%
Ridly Greig 389.00%
Jordan Greenway 386.00%

Pick 3

Player Predicted Odds (%)
Curtis Lazar 1318.00%
Jonny Brodzinski 855.00%
Simon Edvinsson 751.00%
Kevin Bahl 655.00%
Artem Zub 595.00%
Ian Cole 460.00%
Ryan Lomberg 455.00%
Trent Frederic 400.00%
Arber Xhekaj 268.00%
Alexandre Carrier 250.00%
Jordan Spence 244.00%
Brayden McNabb 236.00%
Scott Mayfield 214.00%
Declan Chisholm 0.00%

About Model 2

Adds opponent strength, goalie quality, and contextual features to estimate the percentage chance of a player scoring.