Heuristic Predicted Odds
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Pick 1
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Leon Draisaitl |
14.00% |
| Alex Ovechkin |
11.00% |
| Tage Thompson |
11.00% |
| Cole Caufield |
9.00% |
| Nazem Kadri |
8.00% |
| Nick Suzuki |
7.00% |
| Nathan MacKinnon |
7.00% |
| Tyler Toffoli |
7.00% |
| Zach Hyman |
6.00% |
| Tim Stutzle |
5.00% |
| Ryan O'Reilly |
5.00% |
| Yegor Sharangovich |
4.00% |
| Alexis Lafreniere |
4.00% |
| Lawson Crouse |
3.00% |
| Fabian Zetterlund |
1.00% |
Pick 2
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Matt Duchene |
18.00% |
| Roope Hintz |
16.00% |
| Stefan Noesen |
11.00% |
| Juraj Slafkovský |
9.00% |
| Josh Anderson |
8.00% |
| Connor Zary |
6.00% |
| Ridly Greig |
6.00% |
| Jake Sanderson |
6.00% |
| Ryan Hartman |
6.00% |
| Mattias Ekholm |
5.00% |
| Jonas Brodin |
2.00% |
| Cole Smith |
2.00% |
| Morgan Frost |
2.00% |
| Jordan Greenway |
1.00% |
| Mattias Janmark |
1.00% |
Pick 3
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Jonny Brodzinski |
19.00% |
| Luke Hughes |
11.00% |
| Simon Edvinsson |
10.00% |
| Brayden McNabb |
9.00% |
| Jordan Spence |
7.00% |
| Kevin Bahl |
7.00% |
| Ryan Lomberg |
6.00% |
| Declan Chisholm |
5.00% |
| Arber Xhekaj |
5.00% |
| Scott Mayfield |
5.00% |
| Ian Cole |
5.00% |
| Alexandre Carrier |
5.00% |
| Artem Zub |
4.00% |
| Curtis Lazar |
3.00% |
| Trent Frederic |
0.00% |
About Model 1
Model 1 is a simple heuristic that selects the player with the strongest
recent and season-to-date statistics. It doesn’t use advanced machine
learning, but it provides a clear baseline for comparison against more
sophisticated models.