Heuristic Predicted Odds
Last updated: 2025-10-23 23:52:16
Pick 1
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Leon Draisaitl |
15.00% |
| Mark Scheifele |
10.00% |
| Cole Caufield |
8.00% |
| Kevin Fiala |
7.00% |
| Mikko Rantanen |
7.00% |
| Nick Suzuki |
7.00% |
| Nathan MacKinnon |
6.00% |
| Dylan Guenther |
6.00% |
| Sebastian Aho |
6.00% |
| Cale Makar |
6.00% |
| Jake DeBrusk |
6.00% |
| Robert Thomas |
5.00% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
4.00% |
| Conor Garland |
4.00% |
| Nino Niederreiter |
3.00% |
Pick 2
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Tyler Seguin |
19.00% |
| Seth Jarvis |
17.00% |
| Logan Cooley |
13.00% |
| Quinn Hughes |
8.00% |
| Juraj Slafkovský |
8.00% |
| Josh Anderson |
6.00% |
| Alex Iafallo |
6.00% |
| Andrew Mangiapane |
6.00% |
| Jack McBain |
5.00% |
| Mattias Ekholm |
5.00% |
| Alex Turcotte |
4.00% |
| Cole Smith |
2.00% |
| Luke Schenn |
1.00% |
| Frederick Gaudreau |
-0.00% |
| Evander Kane |
-1.00% |
Pick 3
| Player |
Predicted Odds (%) |
| Corey Perry |
19.00% |
| Noah Dobson |
12.00% |
| Tanner Pearson |
10.00% |
| Cole Koepke |
9.00% |
| Darnell Nurse |
9.00% |
| Nathan Walker |
7.00% |
| Adam Larsson |
6.00% |
| Mike Reilly |
6.00% |
| Joel Edmundson |
5.00% |
| Tyler Myers |
5.00% |
| Sam Steel |
5.00% |
| Marcus Pettersson |
3.00% |
| Arber Xhekaj |
3.00% |
| Curtis Lazar |
2.00% |
| Matthew Kessel |
1.00% |
About Model 1
Model 1 is a simple heuristic that selects the player with the strongest
recent and season-to-date statistics. It doesn’t use advanced machine
learning, but it provides a clear baseline for comparison against more
sophisticated models.